The prediction market has swung sharply bearish, with bets on a recovery to $75,000 or above effectively abandoned and the downside scenarios pulling in millions in volume With four days left in February, Polymarket bettors have largely given up on Bitcoin finishing the month anywhere near where it started. The market has repriced aggressively to the downside, and the numbers now reflect a token in serious trouble.
Prediction market now prices a 42% chance Bitcoin falls below $60,000 before February ends
AI IMPORTANCE: 3/10
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AI INSIGHT
Polymarket prices a 42% chance Bitcoin (BTC) falls below $60,000 before Feb. 28, 2026, as of Feb. 24, 2026; downside contracts have drawn millions of dollars in volume, while contracts betting on Bitcoin finishing February at $75,000 or higher show negligible volume, with four days left in the month.
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